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| The Failure of the EU in the Global “Lisbon Process”: A Cross-national, Quantitative Tribute to the |
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Authors: Arno Tausch Abstract:
In this paper we analyze the Lisbon performance of the countries of the
European Union from a long-term, structural perspective.
It again turns out that first of all things get worse, before they get better –
the old wisdom of classical development economics (Kuznets) and political
science modernization theory of the postwar period. In addition, it emerges that
foreign savings, “economic freedom”, low comparative international price levels,
and World Bank type pension reforms are not compatible with a solid and longrun
development path, based on our knowledge of 17 component variables,
integrating the dimensions growth, environment, human rights, basic human
needs satisfaction, and gender equality. In addition, European Union membership
(EU-15, “old Europe”) has the numerically highest negative effect on the global
Lisbon process; while Muslim population shares in no way bloc the development
process, on the contrary. Neo-liberal globalization strategies are condemned to
failure; while European decision makers in particular would be strongly advised
to re-think their Lisbon strategy, which pushes countries towards accepting
strategies, which, inter alia, lower instead of increase the comparative
international price level. Is a price level of say, the Congo’s dimension, really the
aim of the Lisbon process?
Balassa and Samuelson assumed that rising international price levels for
the periphery country are a precondition of positive development. Falling relative
price levels would suggest in the neo-classical argument that the price of the nontradables
in the European economy decreased dramatically over time.
Structuralist economists, like Stanford Professor emeritus Pan Yotopoulos,
usually warn the weaker countries of the periphery that:“Currency substitution
represents an asymmetric demand from Mexicans to hold dollars as a store of
value, a demand that is not reciprocated by Americans holding pesos as a hedge
against the devaluation of the dollar!” (Yotopoulos and Sawada, 2005).
In addition to the above specified dependency theory and world systems
theory arguments, urbanization positively affects Lisbon Process Index Indicator.
Ceteris paribus, World Bank pension reforms will be negatively related to the process: Pushing Europe downwards the path of falling comparative prices will
only increase the growth impediments of the growingly multicultural Europe.
Keywords: Index Numbers and Aggregation, Cross-Sectional Models, Spatial Models, Economic Integration, Regional Economic Activity, Growth, Development, and Changes, International Factor Movements and International Business, International Relations and International Political Economy JEL Classification: C43, C21, F15, R11, F2, F5 |





