Cash Limits and the Control of Public Expenditure in the United Kingdom
This paper uses a generalisation of intervention analysis to examine quarterly data on UK public expenditure from 1963:1 to 1992:4. The aim is to test whether government policy, and particularly the introduction of cash limits, had any significant effect upon the level of real public expenditure. Four series are examined. These are for (i) central government consumption, (ii) local authority consumption, (iii) general government capital formation and (iv) tranfer payments. No evidence is found of intervention effects that can be attributed to cash limits.